Wednesday, April 4, 2007

2007 Hurricane Predictions

Just for fun, I am going to link to this article, and I am going to quote the predictions here, so I can look back. I didn't copy last years predictions, but they were dire, end of the world stuff, and it turned out to be one of the calmest seasons on record. Not one major Hurricane landed on the US, not one. This, at a time when Katrina is one of the favorite talking points of the human causation of Gorbal Warming crowd.

"Forecaster William Gray said he expects 17 named storms in all this year, five of them major hurricanes with sustained winds of 111 mph or greater. The probability of a major hurricane making landfall on the U.S. coast this year: 74 percent, compared with the average of 52 percent over the past century, he said.

Last year, Gray's forecast and government forecasts were higher than what the Atlantic hurricane season produced.

There were 10 named Atlantic storms in 2006 and five hurricanes, two of them major, in what was considered a "near normal" season. None of those hurricanes hit the U.S. Atlantic coast — only the 11th time that has occurred since 1945. The National Hurricane Center in Miami originally reported nine storms, but upgraded one storm after a postseason review."

There, recorded for posterity!

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